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Democrats to lose House in Nov. polls, Trump’s 2024 re-election possible: US Prof.

File photo of the US House of Representatives

A US academic predicts the defeat of Democrats in the nation’s lower House of Representative in November’s mid-term elections, further raising the potential re-election of former hawkish president Donald Trump.

“The Democrats will lose the House in the fall; the only question is by how many seats,” said Political Science Professor at San Francisco State University, Robert C. Smith in a Friday interview with Press TV, adding that the odds of either dominant political parties taking control of the Senate are “about even.”

On Trump’s latest reported vow to enter the 2024 US presidential race while contemplating whether to make a formal announcement prior to or after the fateful midterm polls, Smith noted, “it really does not matter” when he declares his candidacy, though “if he announces this year, it will discourage other possible Republican candidates who might wish to plan to run but do not wish to challenge him.”

He also touched upon the outlook of Trump’s return to the White House, saying, “If Trump is reelected, it will intensify ideological divisions in the country; decrease the capacity of the US system to responsibly govern, and for more than half the country raise fears of White nationalist authoritarianism destroying democracy in America.”

Asked about Trump’s possible motivation to declare his candidacy earlier in a bid to undermine the work of the Congressional committee probing the January 6, 2021 insurrection and whether the panel’s findings will impact his second presidential ambition, Smith said, “the timing of a Trump announcement has little to do with the January 6 committee investigation.”

“While the Committee has uncovered some useful details on the attempted insurrection and Trump’s role in it, its report is not likely to change the opinions of Trump’s core supporters,” he added. “Thus, I do not think the report will stop Trump.”

“It is more likely to reinforce the view of many of his supporters in the public and conservative media that he is a victim of a partisan conspiracy to politically destroy him,” he further explained.

According to a recent poll released earlier this month, US President Joe Biden will lose to Trump in a potential presidential race in 2024.

The new Emerson College survey showed Trump leading Biden 44 percent to 39 percent in a head-to-head hypothetical matchup.

Another 12 percent of expected voters said they plan to vote for someone else.

Biden’s support has waned, somewhat, since May, when the same poll found Trump notching 44 percent support in a 2024 race against Biden, whose support has declined from 42 percent in May to 39 percent in late June.

This is while a number of Democrats have begun questioning whether Biden should seek a second term despite the fact that the incumbent intends to run again.

Trump has repeatedly hinted at a potential 2024 run, though he hasn’t yet committed himself to another campaign and some Republicans remain skeptical that he will actually move forward with a comeback bid.

Meanwhile, Trump dominates the field of potential candidates for the 2024 Republican presidential field, according to the poll.

Some 55 percent of voters said they would support Trump in the 2024 Republican primary, while Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is a distant second. DeSantis, a rising star within the party, garnered the support of 20 percent.


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