By Myles Hoenig
Unless there’s a real October surprise that benefits Trump, playing on the pandemic is Biden’s best hope to keep Trump on the defensive as we only have nine more days until the first round of voting is counted; that is the electronic votes on Election Day and afterwards as write-in ballots are counted.
Trump’s managing Arab recognition and cooperation with Israel would normally be a big deal and could even be an election changer but it is only going to shore up some Jewish voters who are already planning to vote for him. Others really don’t care at this point.
There is so much that would normally derail Biden’s chances. Surprisingly, he has shown sufficient lucidity in the debates and on the campaign trail that his alleged dementia has no legs at this point. The Hunter Biden emails would certainly stalk him if Trump were to win and he would sic his Attorney General on him as he was unable to do against Hillary Clinton all these years. He knows he’s not likely to have a Republican Congress to do the investigations.
Biden has angered so many Democratic constituents with his opposition to Medicare For All during a pandemic, his support for fracking, bragging that he ‘beat the socialist’, and the real fear that they would be voting for the next immediate war. But the pandemic at this moment trumps all. Every person in America is affected by it. Maybe not medically but financially or through lifestyle interruptions and major changes.
Trump’s absolute incompetence, ignorance and stupidity, and arrogance is the best even the worst candidate would have over him, fittingly, that that candidate is Biden. Trump has insulted the intelligence of at least 60% of the American people by calling Dr. Fauci an idiot, as he has far more ‘favorables’ than Trump.
Every day Trump makes a mockery of the virus and people’s reaction to it, his numbers go down. Playing the campaign conservatively is Biden’s best strategy. Stay in his bunker, and attack Trump on the pandemic- a winning strategy.
*Myles Hoenig is a political analyst in Baltimore, Maryland. He ran for Congress in 2016 as a Green Party candidate.