Trump will survive impeachment but his base will shrink: Analyst
US President Donald Trump will survive the ongoing impeachment push in the Congress, says an American analyst, arguing that the Republican head of state would lost much of his support in the process.
Myles Hoenig, a former Green Party candidate, said Sunday that while support for impeachment would remain around 50-50 percent for the time being, it will soon start to change once the public hearings began.
Democrats over the past few weeks have been holding impeachment hearings in private after a whistle-blower in the US intelligence community revealed to Congress that Trump tried to smear his possible 2020 Democratic rival Joe Biden by pressuring Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelensky to hand over dirt over his business dealings in the country.
A recent poll by NBC News/Wall Street Journal revealed Sunday that 49 percent of Americans wanted Trump impeached and removed, while 46 percent remain opposed to the idea.
After facing pressure by Republicans, the Democrats in the House of Representatives brought a resolution to the floor to go public with the impeachment and won the vote.
“As soon as the testimony and hearings become public, more and more wavering Americans and independents will likely come around to support impeachment, and maybe even a substantial number of Republicans,” Hoenig told PressTV.
He said the process was going to be similar to the impeachment of former President Richard Nixon, whose base “evaporated” over a few controversial sentences by John Dean.
“What we have with Trump is a lot of Democrats putting out incriminating information, as well as public opening statements, but until the American people start to watch these career individuals speak to the cameras, support for impeachment will remain about 50/50 as it is now,” the analyst said.
“As soon as the cameras start to roll, it will become far more difficult to defend Trump’s actions and statements, and the ugliness that will ensue from Republicans yelling fraud, and witch hunt, and lies it could become more and more apparent that absolute desperation has settled in the White House.”
He said Trump was trying to build a reelection campaign around the slogan of “I’m not a nice guy but I get things done” but it was not working.
“In all likelihood Trump will remain in office until his first term is over as the Senate removing him is improbable,” he said.
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