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US war with China likely in 15 years, retired US Army general says

etired Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges speaks to reporters on the sidelines of the Warsaw Security Forum in Warsaw, Poland, Oct. 24, 2018.

The former commander of the US Army in Europe has warned that it’s very likely the United States and China will be engaged in a military conflict in 15 years.

Retired Lieutenant General Ben Hodges said Wednesday that European allies would have to do more to increase their military capabilities in face of a resurgent Russia because America will need to focus more attention on defending its interests against China, according to the Associated Press.

"The United States needs a very strong European pillar. I think in 15 years — it's not inevitable — but it is a very strong likelihood that we will be at war with China,'' Hodges told a packed room at the Warsaw Security Forum, a two-day gathering of leaders and military and political experts from central Europe.

"The United States does not have the capacity to do everything it has to do in Europe and in the Pacific to deal with the Chinese threat,'' Hodges said.

Hodges was US Army commander in Europe from 2014 until last year. He now is a strategic expert with the Center for European Policy Analysis, a Washington-based think tank.

Despite shifting geopolitical priorities, Hodges said the US commitment to the NATO military alliance remained "unshakable.''

He said he was certain Washington viewed Europe's security as a key US interest, even though US President Donald Trump has expressed doubt about NATO’s usefulness.

"So you're going to see us continue to invest here in Europe, continue to train, to practice rotational forces, as well as permanently assign forces for the eventuality that in 10 or 15 years we're going to be having to fight in the Pacific,'' Hodges said.

Hodges told The Associated Press that a recent near-miss between a US Navy destroyer and a Chinese warship in the disputed South China Sea was only one of the signs pointing to an "an increasingly tense relationship and increasing competition in all the different domains.''

The trade war between the US and China and how Beijing is gaining control of infrastructure by funding projects in Africa and Europe are other factors that have angered Washington, Hodges noted.

He said that in Europe, China owns more than 10 percent of the ports.


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