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Brazil to face political limbo after Rousseff: Analyst

Wednesday, 11 May 2016 5:30 PM [ Last Update: Wednesday, 11 May 2016 5:43 PM ]

Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff gestures during the opening ceremony of the 4th National Policy Conference on Women in Brasilia on May 10, 2016. © AFP

Press TV has conducted an interview with Ramin Vahidzadeh, a political commentator from Tehran, about the impeachment of Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff based on allegations that she manipulated fiscal rules in the run-up to her 2014 re-election.

The following is a rough transcription of the interview.

Press TV: The situation in Brazil has turned into quite convoluted one, what are the existing scenarios for Dilma Rousseff and for Brazilian politics?

Vahidzadeh: The main scenario … is that [there are] two cases here. One of them is if the Supreme Court is going to back Ms. Rousseff plan to abolish this impeachment plan in Senate, which is very likely that it would not happen, because we have [seen] in many other cases in this matter impeachment that the Supreme Court rejected the plan.

So, the remaining one would be the voting on Senate. They need just simple majority to gain the impeachment to go on. So, there will be six months of political limbo with the Michel Temer as vice president now being the acting president.

The thing is that based on the statistics here … more than half of the Senate is in favor of impeachment. So, Dilma Rousseff doesn’t have any chance to survive this bid at the first time, but after [these] six months there will be another voting after hearing in the Senate from Ms. Rousseff.

They need 54 votes from the 81 senators there. The main goal of Ms. Rousseff would be to work on each of the senators to get their votes in her favor so that the counting vote doesn’t reach to this 54. If not, there will be a new president, which would be Michel Temer himself for the next two years until the mandate ends.

Here would be another scenario. If Mr. Temer is that powerful to forge coalition with the political parties and also with other factors of Brazil, which is both the social part and also another part which has been hidden from the seeing eyes [that] would be the sector of narco-traffickers, because they have the main power in the favelas. They are actually governing there.

And the main goal of Ms. Roussef was to clean them ahead of the Olympics. So, here there will be a scenario, which would be if this coalition successes Ok all the things are going well, if not, a disaster could come up in many aspects against both Ms. Rousseff and Mr. Temer.

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